The
Indian
economy
continues
to be on
a robust
growth
trajectory.
The
projected
economic
growth
in
2007-08
is
estimated
at 8.7
percent
as
compared
to 9.67
percent
in
2006-07.
The
average
Gross
Domestic
Product
(GDP)
growth
rate
during
the
years
2004-07
was 9
percent
per
annum.
At
disaggregated
level
the
percentage
growth
in key
sectors
was 2.6
percent
in
Agriculture
&
Allied
Industries,
9.2
percent
in
Industry
and 11.2
percent
in
Services.
The
Planning
Commission's
Approach
Paper
for the
11th
Five-Year
Plan has
set a
growth
target
of 10
percent
in the
final
year of
the plan
(2011-12).
The
Trade
Openness
Indicator
(that
is, the
Trade to
GDP
ratio)
has
increased
from
22.5
percent
in
2000-01
to 34.8
percent
in
2006-07,
thereby
reflecting
greater
integration
with the
world's
economy.
The
globalization
of
Indian
Enterprises
and
Indian
Multinationals
has
propelled
and
increased
outbound
investment
as
compared
to
earlier
years.
Despite
fears of
a global
economic
slowdown,
recessionary
fears in
the US,
rising
oil
prices
and
slowing
down of
industrial
production
and
deceleration
in
exports
from
India,
the ET-NCAER
Business
Confidence
Survey (BCI)
reinforces
the
belief
that
India
Inc's
confidence
levels
continue
to rise.
The
business
confidence
index (BCI)
has
risen
5.5% (8
points)
to 154
for the
quarter
ended
December
'07,
compared
to the
previous
round
held in
October
'07. A
remarkable
feature
is that
upbeat
sentiment
persists
in this
round
after a
smart
recovery
in the
previous
round.
If this
sentiment
remains
resilient,
the BCI
is
likely
to touch
January
'07's
peak
level of
157.3.
The BCI,
which
had
fallen
for two
consecutive
quarters
since
January
last
year, is
now
showing
signs of
robust
recovery.
India's
foreign
exchange
reserves
((excluding
Gold and
SDRs)
stood at
US$ 180
billion
during
2006-07
The
Indian
Rupee
appreciated
against
Japanese
Yen, US
Dollar,
Pound
Sterling
and Euro
in
2006-07.
In fact,
the
Rupee
has
appreciated
by 8.9
percent
against
the U.S.
Dollar
in
2007-08.
India
has
improved
its
position
by two
places
in the
World
Economic
Forum's
Global
Competitiveness
Index (GCI)
rankings
for
2006-07
coming
in 43rd,
well
ahead of
Brazil
(66),
China
(54) and
Russia
(62).
The
report
measures
the
steps
taken by
the
economies
to
encourage
companies
to set
up shops
also
lauded
efficiency
gains
made by
India in
labor
and
financial
markets.
The
size of
the
Indian
Economy
at
market
exchange
rate is
estimated
to
exceed
US $1
trillion
in the
current
fiscal
year.
The
number
of
registered
Foreign
Institutional
Investors
(FIIs)
rose to
1,219 at
the end
of 2007
from
1,044 in
the
corresponding
period
of last
year.
The
number
of
sub-accounts
also
increased
to 3,644
from
3,045,
over the
same
period.
Increased
foreign
investment
is
continuing
and
spreading
over a
range of
economic
activities.
There
has been
a 150
percent
increase
in net
foreign
inflows
in
2006-07
to US
$23
billion.
The
trend
has
continued
in the
first
six
months
of the
current
financial
year
with the
gross
foreign
investment
reaching
US $11.2
billion.
The
flow of
investments
into the
Indian
capital
market
and
developing
countries
has
increased,
potentially
due to
the
sub-prime
mortgage
situation
in the
United
States.
For the
longer
term,
the
problem
of
excess
capital
inflows
is
proposed
to be
addressed
by
deepening
productivity
gains,
interest
differential
and
build up
on the
expectations
on the
rupee.
Trade
deficit
rose to
US $42.4
billion
equivalent
to 8.1
percent
of GDP.
Owing
to
pressure
on
domestic
prices
by
global
commodity
prices
and
supply
constraints
in some
essential
commodities
-
consequently
the
average
inflation
in
2006-07
was
estimated
at
between
5.2 and
5.4% in
India
Union
Budget
2007-
2008,
although
the
figure
is
closer
to 8
percent
currently.
Sources:
Summary of
India's
Economic
Survey
2007-2008
and ET-NCAR
Business
Confidence
Index